Predictive Insights

xFractal’s Predictions module helps forecast price movements by analyzing a blend of token-specific data, market signals and wallet behaviour. It powers key decision-making across the platform by offering high-confidence directional predictions.

Predictions are made for price in the next 24h. These can be unlocked by using XCCs. Predictions are updated on a daily basis at 15:10 CET.

How It Works

xFractal aggregates a variety of inputs including:

  • On-chain activity

  • Price trends & volatility

  • Social metrics

  • Technical indicators (e.g. MA, RSI)

These features are passed through multiple forest-based classifiers, each outputting a probability of upward price movement.

Model Ensamble

Rather than relying on a single model, xFractal combines outputs from multiple classifiers using a weighted ensemble approach. This improves overall reliability and helps smooth out noise from individual predictions.

Final Output

The ensemble produces a combined probability, which is compared against a dynamic threshold:

  • 1 = price likely to go up

  • 0 = price likely to go down or stay flat

Performance

The model achieves 87.7% direction accuracy across all predictions, with performance improving to 95% for price increase predictions.Ensuring predictions are both accurate and actionable

Unlocking Predictions

Predictions can be unlocked for 1 XCC. Once unlocked, users can review the prediction output and instantly act on it by selecting Quick Buy.

Verified Predictions

All our predictions are verified on-chain through SaharaAI's decentralised group of workers. This is to ensure fair, transparent and verified accuracy of our predictions. Predictions are verified on a monthly basis.

Last updated